{
 "destination": "washington-dc",
 "name": "Washington, D.C.",
 "country": "US",
 "computed_at": "2026-07-22T13:47:48",
 "model_version": "v10-2026.07",
 "artifact_hash": "23a47644c3aed7af",
 "overall_state": "DEGRADED",
 "confidence": 0.275,
 "ship_size_coverage": 0.0,
 "capacity_note": "Ship figures are guest capacity at double occupancy (berths, not headcounts); unknown-size ships aren't counted, so true capacity can only be higher.",
 "definitions": {
  "bands": "Crowd bands are percentiles of this destination's OWN forecast year (Calm 0\u201339, Lively 40\u201364, Busy 65\u201384, Packed 85\u2013100 on busier_than_pct) \u2014 never a comparison to any other place.",
  "busier_than_pct": "How the day ranks against the same destination's other forecast days, 0\u2013100; 100 appears only on the single busiest day (rank n = 1).",
  "basis": "basis \"measured\" = the schedule inputs (ships, holidays, season) are confirmed sources; the crowd level itself is always modeled. \"estimated\" = at least one input is a labeled stand-in.",
  "confidence": "Share of the day's signal weight carried by real sources, scaled by their coverage (0\u20131; not a probability). It steps to a lower tier where a feeder country's school-holiday calendar for that year isn't published yet \u2014 coverage drops, nothing is guessed.",
  "quiet_desirability": "Weekly 0\u20131 scales: quiet = 1 \u2212 mean busier_than_pct/100 (1 = quietest); desirability = editorial blend of comfort temperature, dryness and daylight (weights in /constants.json).",
  "caveats_checked": "true = the caveat rules ran for this day; an empty caveats list is a statement, not an unpopulated field.",
  "legend_url": "https://avoid-crowds.com/methodology/"
 },
 "methodology": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/methodology/",
 "months": [
  {
   "month": "2026-07",
   "label": "July 2026",
   "days_total": 10,
   "days_scored": 10,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 10,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 10,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 10
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-07-22",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 98
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-07-22",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 98
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 31.7,
   "typical_rain_days": 14.8,
   "summary": "July 2026 \u2014 10 of 10 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 10 days",
   "capsule": "July 2026 in Washington, D.C.: 10 of 10 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 10 days. 10 days have no ship data. Typical July here: hot and wet \u2014 around 32\u00b0C by day, rain on about 15 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-07",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-07"
  },
  {
   "month": "2026-08",
   "label": "August 2026",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 31,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 31
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-08-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 90
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-08-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 90
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 29.9,
   "typical_rain_days": 16.4,
   "summary": "August 2026 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 31 days",
   "capsule": "August 2026 in Washington, D.C.: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 31 days. 31 days have no ship data. Typical August here: hot and wet \u2014 around 30\u00b0C by day, rain on about 16 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-08",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-08"
  },
  {
   "month": "2026-09",
   "label": "September 2026",
   "days_total": 30,
   "days_scored": 30,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 1,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 30,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 29,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 1
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-09-01",
    "band": "Lively",
    "busier_than_pct": 48
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-09-07",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 26.4,
   "typical_rain_days": 9.2,
   "summary": "September 2026 \u2014 1 of 30 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 30 days",
   "capsule": "September 2026 in Washington, D.C.: 1 of 30 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 30 days. 30 days have no ship data. Typical September here: warm and wet \u2014 around 26\u00b0C by day, rain on about 9 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-09",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-09"
  },
  {
   "month": "2026-10",
   "label": "October 2026",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 31,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 30,
    "Packed": 1
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-10-01",
    "band": "Busy",
    "busier_than_pct": 65
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-10-12",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 20.5,
   "typical_rain_days": 9.6,
   "summary": "October 2026 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 31 days",
   "capsule": "October 2026 in Washington, D.C.: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 31 days. 31 days have no ship data. Typical October here: mild and wet \u2014 around 20\u00b0C by day, rain on about 10 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-10",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-10"
  },
  {
   "month": "2026-11",
   "label": "November 2026",
   "days_total": 30,
   "days_scored": 30,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 2,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 30,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 28,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 2,
    "Packed": 0
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "band": "Calm",
    "busier_than_pct": 23
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-11-11",
    "band": "Busy",
    "busier_than_pct": 65
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 13.5,
   "typical_rain_days": 7.4,
   "summary": "November 2026 \u2014 2 of 30 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 30 days",
   "capsule": "November 2026 in Washington, D.C.: 2 of 30 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 30 days. 30 days have no ship data. Typical November here: cool and showery \u2014 around 14\u00b0C by day, rain on about 7 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-11",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-11"
  },
  {
   "month": "2026-12",
   "label": "December 2026",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 1,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 31,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 30,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 1,
    "Packed": 0
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-12-01",
    "band": "Calm",
    "busier_than_pct": 32
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-12-25",
    "band": "Busy",
    "busier_than_pct": 73
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 9.4,
   "typical_rain_days": 9.0,
   "summary": "December 2026 \u2014 1 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 31 days",
   "capsule": "December 2026 in Washington, D.C.: 1 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 31 days. 31 days have no ship data. Typical December here: cool and wet \u2014 around 9\u00b0C by day, rain on about 9 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-12",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2026-12"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-01",
   "label": "January 2027",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 0,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 31,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 31,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 0
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-01-02",
    "band": "Calm",
    "busier_than_pct": 15
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-01-01",
    "band": "Calm",
    "busier_than_pct": 24
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 6.9,
   "typical_rain_days": 8.8,
   "summary": "January 2027 \u2014 0 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 31 days",
   "capsule": "January 2027 in Washington, D.C.: 0 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 31 days. 31 days have no ship data. Typical January here: cool and showery \u2014 around 7\u00b0C by day, rain on about 9 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-01",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-01"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-02",
   "label": "February 2027",
   "days_total": 28,
   "days_scored": 28,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 0,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 28,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 28,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 0
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-02-01",
    "band": "Calm",
    "busier_than_pct": 7
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-02-12",
    "band": "Calm",
    "busier_than_pct": 15
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 9.3,
   "typical_rain_days": 11.4,
   "summary": "February 2027 \u2014 0 of 28 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 28 days",
   "capsule": "February 2027 in Washington, D.C.: 0 of 28 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 28 days. 28 days have no ship data. Typical February here: cool and wet \u2014 around 9\u00b0C by day, rain on about 11 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-02",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-02"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-03",
   "label": "March 2027",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 1,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 31,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 30,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 1
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-03-01",
    "band": "Lively",
    "busier_than_pct": 40
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-03-26",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 98
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 13.8,
   "typical_rain_days": 9.6,
   "summary": "March 2027 \u2014 1 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 31 days",
   "capsule": "March 2027 in Washington, D.C.: 1 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 31 days. 31 days have no ship data. Typical March here: cool and wet \u2014 around 14\u00b0C by day, rain on about 10 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-03",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-03"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-04",
   "label": "April 2027",
   "days_total": 30,
   "days_scored": 30,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 0,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 30,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 30,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 0
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-04-01",
    "band": "Lively",
    "busier_than_pct": 56
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-04-01",
    "band": "Lively",
    "busier_than_pct": 56
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 19.0,
   "typical_rain_days": 11.8,
   "summary": "April 2027 \u2014 0 of 30 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 30 days",
   "capsule": "April 2027 in Washington, D.C.: 0 of 30 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 30 days. 30 days have no ship data. Typical April here: mild and wet \u2014 around 19\u00b0C by day, rain on about 12 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-04",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-04"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-05",
   "label": "May 2027",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 31,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 29,
    "Packed": 2
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-05-01",
    "band": "Busy",
    "busier_than_pct": 81
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-05-08",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 23.3,
   "typical_rain_days": 11.4,
   "summary": "May 2027 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 31 days",
   "capsule": "May 2027 in Washington, D.C.: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 31 days. 31 days have no ship data. Typical May here: warm and wet \u2014 around 23\u00b0C by day, rain on about 11 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-05",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-05"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-06",
   "label": "June 2027",
   "days_total": 30,
   "days_scored": 30,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 30,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 30,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 29,
    "Packed": 1
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-06-01",
    "band": "Busy",
    "busier_than_pct": 73
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-06-18",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 28.7,
   "typical_rain_days": 13.0,
   "summary": "June 2027 \u2014 30 of 30 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 30 days",
   "capsule": "June 2027 in Washington, D.C.: 30 of 30 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 30 days. 30 days have no ship data. Typical June here: hot and wet \u2014 around 29\u00b0C by day, rain on about 13 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-06",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-06"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-07",
   "label": "July 2027",
   "days_total": 21,
   "days_scored": 21,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 21,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 21,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 21
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-07-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 98
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-07-05",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 100
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 31.7,
   "typical_rain_days": 14.8,
   "summary": "July 2027 \u2014 21 of 21 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 0 of 21 days",
   "capsule": "July 2027 in Washington, D.C.: 21 of 21 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 0 of 21 days. 21 days have no ship data. Typical July here: hot and wet \u2014 around 32\u00b0C by day, rain on about 15 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 22 Jul 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-07",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/#m-2027-07"
  }
 ],
 "climate_normals_source": "meteorological archive:38.91,-77.04:2019-2023",
 "climate_note": "Monthly typical_temp_max_c / typical_rain_days are climate normals from a meteorological archive (2019\u20132023 daily means) \u2014 climate, never a forecast.",
 "best_time": [
  {
   "start": "2026-09-14",
   "end": "2026-09-20",
   "label": "recommended",
   "headline": "Recommended \u2014 quiet and pleasant",
   "reason": "quieter than most weeks here; the weather is usually at its best",
   "quiet": 0.52,
   "desirability": 0.848
  },
  {
   "start": "2026-09-21",
   "end": "2026-09-27",
   "label": "recommended",
   "headline": "Recommended \u2014 quiet and pleasant",
   "reason": "quieter than most weeks here; the weather is usually at its best",
   "quiet": 0.52,
   "desirability": 0.848
  },
  {
   "start": "2026-11-02",
   "end": "2026-11-08",
   "label": "recommended",
   "headline": "Recommended \u2014 quiet and pleasant",
   "reason": "among the quietest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually decent",
   "quiet": 0.77,
   "desirability": 0.598
  },
  {
   "start": "2026-11-16",
   "end": "2026-11-22",
   "label": "recommended",
   "headline": "Recommended \u2014 quiet and pleasant",
   "reason": "among the quietest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually decent",
   "quiet": 0.77,
   "desirability": 0.598
  },
  {
   "start": "2026-09-07",
   "end": "2026-09-13",
   "label": "recommended",
   "headline": "Recommended \u2014 quiet and pleasant",
   "reason": "busier than most weeks here; the weather is usually at its best",
   "quiet": 0.447,
   "desirability": 0.848
  },
  {
   "start": "2026-08-31",
   "end": "2026-09-06",
   "label": "recommended",
   "headline": "Recommended \u2014 quiet and pleasant",
   "reason": "busier than most weeks here; the weather is usually at its best",
   "quiet": 0.46,
   "desirability": 0.807
  }
 ],
 "quietest_not_recommended": [
  {
   "start": "2027-02-01",
   "end": "2027-02-07",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "among the quietest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually harsh; low season \u2014 hotels/ferries likely reduced (inferred from Eurostat nights)",
   "quiet": 0.93,
   "desirability": 0.315
  },
  {
   "start": "2027-02-22",
   "end": "2027-02-28",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "among the quietest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually harsh; low season \u2014 hotels/ferries likely reduced (inferred from Eurostat nights)",
   "quiet": 0.93,
   "desirability": 0.315
  },
  {
   "start": "2027-02-08",
   "end": "2027-02-14",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "among the quietest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually harsh; low season \u2014 hotels/ferries likely reduced (inferred from Eurostat nights)",
   "quiet": 0.919,
   "desirability": 0.315
  },
  {
   "start": "2027-02-15",
   "end": "2027-02-21",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "among the quietest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually harsh; low season \u2014 hotels/ferries likely reduced (inferred from Eurostat nights)",
   "quiet": 0.919,
   "desirability": 0.315
  },
  {
   "start": "2027-01-04",
   "end": "2027-01-10",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
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  }
 ],
 "cite_as": "Avoid-Crowds crowd forecast \u2014 Washington, D.C., as of 2026-07-22 \u00b7 https://avoid-crowds.com/washington-dc/",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0"
}