{
 "destination": "vancouver",
 "name": "Vancouver",
 "country": "CA",
 "computed_at": "2026-09-14T12:33:45",
 "model_version": "v11-2026.07",
 "artifact_hash": "9c24a4f7185d16f0",
 "overall_state": "DEGRADED",
 "confidence": 0.684,
 "signal_profile": {
  "cruise": 0.4955457806421894,
  "season": 0.45478182241031323,
  "holiday": 0.04967239694749734
 },
 "ship_size_coverage": 1.0,
 "capacity_note": "Ship figures are guest capacity at double occupancy (berths, not headcounts); unknown-size ships aren't counted, so true capacity can only be higher.",
 "definitions": {
  "bands": "Crowd bands are percentiles of this destination's OWN forecast year (Calm 0\u201339, Lively 40\u201364, Busy 65\u201384, Packed 85\u2013100 on busier_than_pct) \u2014 never a comparison to any other place.",
  "busier_than_pct": "How the day ranks against the same destination's other forecast days, 0\u2013100; 100 appears only on the single busiest day (rank n = 1).",
  "basis": "basis \"confirmed\" = the schedule inputs (ships, holidays, season) are confirmed sources; the crowd level itself is always modeled. \"estimated\" = at least one input is a labeled stand-in.",
  "confidence": "Share of the day's signal weight carried by real sources, scaled by their coverage (0\u20131; not a probability). It steps to a lower tier where a feeder country's school-holiday calendar for that year isn't published yet \u2014 coverage drops, nothing is guessed.",
  "quiet_desirability": "Weekly 0\u20131 scales: quiet = 1 \u2212 mean busier_than_pct/100 (1 = quietest); desirability = editorial blend of comfort temperature, dryness and daylight (weights in /constants.json).",
  "caveats_checked": "true = the caveat rules ran for this day; an empty caveats list is a statement, not an unpopulated field.",
  "legend_url": "https://avoid-crowds.com/methodology/"
 },
 "methodology": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/methodology/",
 "months": [
  {
   "month": "2026-09",
   "label": "September 2026",
   "days_total": 17,
   "days_scored": 17,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 17,
   "call_days": 13,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": "2026-09-19",
   "peak_ships": 4,
   "peak_capacity_min": 10178,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 17
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-09-14",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-09-14",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 18.6,
   "typical_rain_days": 12.0,
   "typical_daylight_h": 12.34,
   "summary": "September 2026 \u2014 17 of 17 days Busy or Packed (partial: 14\u201330 September) \u00b7 ships 13 of 17 days \u00b7 peak Sat 19 Sep",
   "capsule": "September 2026 in Vancouver: 17 of 17 days forecast Busy or Packed. Only 14\u201330 September is in our current window \u2014 17 of September's 30 days. Cruise ships call on 13 of 17 days (peak Sat 19 Sep: 4 ships, guest capacity at least 10,178). Typical September here: mild and wet \u2014 around 19\u00b0C by day, rain on about 12 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2026-09",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2026-09"
  },
  {
   "month": "2026-10",
   "label": "October 2026",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 4,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": "2026-10-13",
   "peak_ships": 1,
   "peak_capacity_min": 3998,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 31
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-10-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-10-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 12.9,
   "typical_rain_days": 13.8,
   "typical_daylight_h": 10.49,
   "summary": "October 2026 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 4 of 31 days \u00b7 peak Tue 13 Oct",
   "capsule": "October 2026 in Vancouver: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 4 of 31 days (peak Tue 13 Oct: 1 ship, guest capacity at least 3,998). Typical October here: cool and wet \u2014 around 13\u00b0C by day, rain on about 14 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2026-10",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2026-10"
  },
  {
   "month": "2026-11",
   "label": "November 2026",
   "days_total": 30,
   "days_scored": 30,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 30,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 30
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 88
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-11-15",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 8.2,
   "typical_rain_days": 16.6,
   "typical_daylight_h": 8.83,
   "summary": "November 2026 \u2014 30 of 30 days Busy or Packed",
   "capsule": "November 2026 in Vancouver: 30 of 30 days forecast Busy or Packed. Typical November here: cool and wet \u2014 around 8\u00b0C by day, rain on about 17 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2026-11",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2026-11"
  },
  {
   "month": "2026-12",
   "label": "December 2026",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 5,
    "Packed": 26
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2026-12-27",
    "band": "Busy",
    "busier_than_pct": 79
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2026-12-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 5.6,
   "typical_rain_days": 21.4,
   "typical_daylight_h": 7.99,
   "summary": "December 2026 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed",
   "capsule": "December 2026 in Vancouver: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Typical December here: cool and wet \u2014 around 6\u00b0C by day, rain on about 21 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2026-12",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2026-12"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-01",
   "label": "January 2027",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 11,
    "Packed": 20
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-01-11",
    "band": "Busy",
    "busier_than_pct": 70
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-01-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 6.5,
   "typical_rain_days": 20.0,
   "typical_daylight_h": 8.42,
   "summary": "January 2027 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed",
   "capsule": "January 2027 in Vancouver: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Typical January here: cool and wet \u2014 around 6\u00b0C by day, rain on about 20 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-01",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-01"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-02",
   "label": "February 2027",
   "days_total": 28,
   "days_scored": 28,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 18,
   "call_days": 0,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": null,
   "peak_ships": 0,
   "peak_capacity_min": null,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 10,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 18
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-02-09",
    "band": "Lively",
    "busier_than_pct": 61
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-02-06",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 5.3,
   "typical_rain_days": 15.8,
   "typical_daylight_h": 9.88,
   "summary": "February 2027 \u2014 18 of 28 days Busy or Packed",
   "capsule": "February 2027 in Vancouver: 18 of 28 days forecast Busy or Packed. Typical February here: cool and wet \u2014 around 5\u00b0C by day, rain on about 16 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-02",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-02"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-03",
   "label": "March 2027",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 1,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": "2027-03-24",
   "peak_ships": 1,
   "peak_capacity_min": 408,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 31
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-03-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-03-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 8.8,
   "typical_rain_days": 13.2,
   "typical_daylight_h": 11.56,
   "summary": "March 2027 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 1 of 31 days \u00b7 peak Wed 24 Mar",
   "capsule": "March 2027 in Vancouver: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 1 of 31 days (peak Wed 24 Mar: 1 ship, guest capacity at least 408). Typical March here: cool and wet \u2014 around 9\u00b0C by day, rain on about 13 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-03",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-03"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-04",
   "label": "April 2027",
   "days_total": 30,
   "days_scored": 30,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 30,
   "call_days": 8,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": "2027-04-27",
   "peak_ships": 2,
   "peak_capacity_min": 6122,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 30
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-04-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-04-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 11.4,
   "typical_rain_days": 13.6,
   "typical_daylight_h": 13.48,
   "summary": "April 2027 \u2014 30 of 30 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 8 of 30 days \u00b7 peak Tue 27 Apr",
   "capsule": "April 2027 in Vancouver: 30 of 30 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 8 of 30 days (peak Tue 27 Apr: 2 ships, guest capacity at least 6,122). Typical April here: cool and wet \u2014 around 11\u00b0C by day, rain on about 14 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-04",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-04"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-05",
   "label": "May 2027",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 28,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": "2027-05-08",
   "peak_ships": 3,
   "peak_capacity_min": 7818,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 31
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-05-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-05-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 15.9,
   "typical_rain_days": 9.4,
   "typical_daylight_h": 15.1,
   "summary": "May 2027 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 28 of 31 days \u00b7 peak Sat 8 May",
   "capsule": "May 2027 in Vancouver: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 28 of 31 days (peak Sat 8 May: 3 ships, guest capacity at least 7,818). Typical May here: mild and wet \u2014 around 16\u00b0C by day, rain on about 9 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-05",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-05"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-06",
   "label": "June 2027",
   "days_total": 30,
   "days_scored": 30,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 30,
   "call_days": 30,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": "2027-06-13",
   "peak_ships": 4,
   "peak_capacity_min": 7340,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 30
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-06-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-06-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 18.9,
   "typical_rain_days": 10.8,
   "typical_daylight_h": 16.0,
   "summary": "June 2027 \u2014 30 of 30 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 30 of 30 days \u00b7 peak Sun 13 Jun",
   "capsule": "June 2027 in Vancouver: 30 of 30 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 30 of 30 days (peak Sun 13 Jun: 4 ships, guest capacity at least 7,340). Typical June here: mild and wet \u2014 around 19\u00b0C by day, rain on about 11 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-06",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-06"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-07",
   "label": "July 2027",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 31,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": "2027-07-03",
   "peak_ships": 4,
   "peak_capacity_min": 7170,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 31
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-07-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-07-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 21.9,
   "typical_rain_days": 5.6,
   "typical_daylight_h": 15.63,
   "summary": "July 2027 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 31 of 31 days \u00b7 peak Sat 3 Jul",
   "capsule": "July 2027 in Vancouver: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 31 of 31 days (peak Sat 3 Jul: 4 ships, guest capacity at least 7,170). Typical July here: mild and showery \u2014 around 22\u00b0C by day, rain on about 6 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-07",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-07"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-08",
   "label": "August 2027",
   "days_total": 31,
   "days_scored": 31,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 31,
   "call_days": 31,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": "2027-08-07",
   "peak_ships": 3,
   "peak_capacity_min": 6542,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 31
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-08-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-08-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 22.3,
   "typical_rain_days": 6.0,
   "typical_daylight_h": 14.21,
   "summary": "August 2027 \u2014 31 of 31 days Busy or Packed \u00b7 ships 31 of 31 days \u00b7 peak Sat 7 Aug",
   "capsule": "August 2027 in Vancouver: 31 of 31 days forecast Busy or Packed. Cruise ships call on 31 of 31 days (peak Sat 7 Aug: 3 ships, guest capacity at least 6,542). Typical August here: warm and showery \u2014 around 22\u00b0C by day, rain on about 6 days. Avoid-Crowds, as of 14 Sep 2026, recomputed nightly: https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-08",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-08"
  },
  {
   "month": "2027-09",
   "label": "September 2027",
   "days_total": 13,
   "days_scored": 13,
   "days_gap": 0,
   "busy_or_packed": 13,
   "call_days": 13,
   "cruise_gap_days": 0,
   "peak_date": "2027-09-04",
   "peak_ships": 3,
   "peak_capacity_min": 10486,
   "band_counts": {
    "Calm": 0,
    "Lively": 0,
    "Busy": 0,
    "Packed": 13
   },
   "calmest": {
    "date": "2027-09-01",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 99
   },
   "busiest": {
    "date": "2027-09-03",
    "band": "Packed",
    "busier_than_pct": 100
   },
   "typical_temp_max_c": 18.6,
   "typical_rain_days": 12.0,
   "typical_daylight_h": 12.34,
   "summary": "September 2027 \u2014 already covered by September 2026",
   "capsule": "",
   "anchor": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/#m-2027-09"
  }
 ],
 "climate_normals_source": "meteorological archive:49.2827,-123.1207:2019-2023",
 "climate_note": "Monthly typical_temp_max_c / typical_rain_days are climate normals from a meteorological archive (2019\u20132023 daily means) \u2014 climate, never a forecast.",
 "best_time": [
  {
   "start": "2027-02-08",
   "end": "2027-02-14",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "busier than most weeks here; the weather is usually harsh",
   "quiet": 0.339,
   "desirability": 0.178
  },
  {
   "start": "2027-02-15",
   "end": "2027-02-21",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "busier than most weeks here; the weather is usually harsh",
   "quiet": 0.223,
   "desirability": 0.178
  },
  {
   "start": "2027-01-11",
   "end": "2027-01-17",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "busier than most weeks here; the weather is usually harsh",
   "quiet": 0.3,
   "desirability": 0.077
  },
  {
   "start": "2026-11-02",
   "end": "2026-11-08",
   "label": "peak_avoid",
   "headline": "Pleasant but packed",
   "reason": "among the busiest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually harsh",
   "quiet": 0.119,
   "desirability": 0.184
  },
  {
   "start": "2026-11-09",
   "end": "2026-11-15",
   "label": "peak_avoid",
   "headline": "Pleasant but packed",
   "reason": "among the busiest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually harsh",
   "quiet": 0.101,
   "desirability": 0.184
  },
  {
   "start": "2026-10-26",
   "end": "2026-11-01",
   "label": "peak_avoid",
   "headline": "Pleasant but packed",
   "reason": "among the busiest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually harsh",
   "quiet": 0.017,
   "desirability": 0.416
  }
 ],
 "quietest_not_recommended": [
  {
   "start": "2027-02-08",
   "end": "2027-02-14",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "busier than most weeks here; the weather is usually harsh",
   "quiet": 0.339,
   "desirability": 0.178
  },
  {
   "start": "2027-01-11",
   "end": "2027-01-17",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "busier than most weeks here; the weather is usually harsh",
   "quiet": 0.3,
   "desirability": 0.077
  },
  {
   "start": "2027-02-15",
   "end": "2027-02-21",
   "label": "quiet_but_harsh",
   "headline": "Quiet but not a great time to be here",
   "reason": "busier than most weeks here; the weather is usually harsh",
   "quiet": 0.223,
   "desirability": 0.178
  },
  {
   "start": "2027-01-18",
   "end": "2027-01-24",
   "label": "peak_avoid",
   "headline": "Pleasant but packed",
   "reason": "among the busiest weeks of the year here; the weather is usually harsh",
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   ],
   "caveats": [
    "lifted to Packed \u2014 Cruise turnaround weekends, May to September (MAJOR event)"
   ],
   "caveats_checked": true,
   "record": "https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/2027-09-13.json"
  }
 ],
 "cite_as": "Avoid-Crowds crowd forecast \u2014 Vancouver, as of 2026-09-14 \u00b7 https://avoid-crowds.com/vancouver/",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0"
}